International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management Supply chain finance for small and medium sized enterprises: the case of reverse factoring Spyridon Damianos Lekkakos, Alejandro Serrano, Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) Article information: To cite this document: Spyridon Damianos Lekkakos, Alejandro Serrano, (2016) "Supply chain finance for small and medium sized enterprises: the case of reverse factoring", International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, Vol. 46 Issue: 4, pp.367-392, https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPDLM-07-2014-0165 Permanent link to this document: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPDLM-07-2014-0165 Downloaded on: 10 January 2019, At: 02:16 (PT) References: this document contains references to 35 other documents. 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The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available on Emerald Insight at: www.emeraldinsight.com/0960-0035.htm Supply chain finance for small and medium sized enterprises: the case of reverse factoring Spyridon Damianos Lekkakos and Alejandro Serrano Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) MIT-Zaragoza International Logistics Program, Zaragoza, Spain Abstract Purpose – Faced with increasing pressure to meet short-term financing needs, companies are looking for ways to unlock potential funds from within the supply chain. Recently, reverse factoring (RF) has emerged as a financing solution that is initiated by the ordering parties to help their suppliers secure financing of receivables at favorable terms. The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of RF schemes on small and medium enterprises’ operational decisions and performance. Design/methodology/approach – The authors model a supplier’s inventory replenishment problem as a multi-stage dynamic program and derive the supplier’s optimal inventory policy for two cases: no access to external financing; access to external financing through RF or traditional factoring. A number of numerical experiments assesses the supplier’s operational performance. Findings – A working capital-dependent base-stock policy is optimal. The optimal policy specifies the sell-up-to-level of accounts receivable with regard to their maturity. RF considerably improves a supplier’s operational performance while providing the potential to unlock more than 10 percent of the supplier’s working capital. When RF is associated with credit-term extension and the supplier has access to alternative sources of financing, the value of RF is then lower than intuitively expected unless the interest spread is considerably large. Originality/value – This is the first attempt to analytically study the impact of RF in a stochastic multi-period setting. Keywords Inventory management, Dynamic programming, Working capital management, Supply chain finance, Reverse factoring Paper type Research paper Supply chain finance 367 Received 30 July 2014 Revised 26 May 2015 31 July 2015 17 January 2016 Accepted 19 January 2016 Nomenclature p c h w' m n xt qt Unit revenue Unit production cost Unit inventory holding cost yt Unit revenue that is retained for financing operations, 0 ⩽ w'⩽ p z0t Integer number of periods in the buyer-supplier trade zt credit agreement Integer number of periods in the buyer-supplier trade credit agreement R0tj under RF, n ⩾ m On-hand inventory at the beginning of period t Inventory replenishment decision in period t Available inventory to service demand in period t Available cash at the beginning of period t Inventory equivalent of the cash plus on-hand inventory at the beginning of period t Size of the A/R that corresponds to period’s t−j sales and is pending at the beginning of period t, j ¼ 1, …, m(n) The authors would like to thank two Guest Editors and two anonymous referees for their useful suggestions. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management Vol. 46 No. 4, 2016 pp. 367-392 © Emerald Group Publishing Limited 0960-0035 DOI 10.1108/IJPDLM-07-2014-0165 IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 368 R 0t Rt Lji Vector of the pending A/R at the Lt beginning of period t Inventory equivalent of the vector of pending A/R at the beginning rr of period t Portion of the A/R generated in period rt i that is sold in period j, Lttj p R0tj for β j ∈[i+1, i+n] Vector of the factoring decision in period t, where Lttj p R0tj for all t and j Interest rate per period for invoice discounting under RF Interest rate per period for invoice discounting under TF Single-period’s discount rate Introduction The current economic conditions, as shaped after the 2008 global financial crisis, along with the ensuing liquidity constraints and raised sensitivity toward risk in the financial markets, have created significant issues for companies trying to finance operations and efficiently manage their working capital. In this environment of relatively low liquidity, the cost of financing has increased and suppliers, especially small and medium enterprises (SMEs), are finding it more difficult to obtain the credit they need. The empirical findings in Campello et al. (2010) suggest that, in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the deterioration of the SME borrowing capacity has often caused underinvestment problems. The scarcity of cheap external financing has driven many firms to look across their financial supply chain for opportunities to improve the management of working capital, optimize their cash flows, and unlock trapped cash. Supply chain finance involves the use of financial instruments, processes, and technologies that facilitate interventions in the financial supply chain by tracking events in the physical supply chain (e.g. placement of purchase order, inventory replenishment, order shipment, invoice approval, etc.). Reverse factoring (RF), the most popular instrument among the different supply chain finance schemes, has been initiated by large firms with high-quality credit rating as a mechanism for soothing their suppliers’ financing problems. It involves a threeparty arrangement between a buyer (hereafter, “she”), a factor (usually a bank), and a supplier (hereafter, “he”). In this arrangement, the buyer promises she will promptly pay the invoices from her trade transactions with the supplier to the factor, in order for the factor to provide an approved-invoice-based financing solution to the supplier. That is, if the supplier wishes to get payment for an approved invoice earlier than its due date, he can sell the relevant invoice to the factor at a discount that is based on the buyer’s credit rating. This is possible because the factor in an RF scheme becomes an essential partner in the supply chain and is able to transfer the financial risk from the supplier to the buyer. Since our research is relevant for both SMEs and capitalconstrained suppliers, hereafter we use “SME” and “supplier” interchangeably. In principle, the reason why RF is gaining popularity is because a well-designed program is supposed to provide advantages to all three parties involved. By expediting the cash flows from his accounts receivable (A/R) at favorable terms, the supplier can efficiently manage his working capital and achieve a higher operational performance at a lower cost. The buyer can achieve direct financial returns through payment-term extension, a return-oriented strategy, and/or operational benefits through service-level improvements, a risk-oriented strategy (van der Vliet et al., 2013). Finally, RF enables the factor to make a profit through service-related fees and cross-selling opportunities. In addition, financing against the buyer’s credit rating results in decreased portfolio risk which means banks need less capital reserves in order to meet central bank solvency requirements. Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) Reports in trade journals refer to different strategic orientations in the implementation of RF programs. A recent example of a “return-oriented approach” is Procter & Gamble’s decision in April 2013 to extend its payment terms for all suppliers by 30 days. The firm’s RF program was initiated to help suppliers finance their increased working capital requirements due to that extension. Using a similar approach, Unilever has been able to achieve a $2 billion working capital reduction in a three-year time span (Seifert and Seifert, 2011). Other companies, such as Volvo, Scania, and Caterpillar, have followed a more “risk-oriented approach” targeted toward helping their suppliers support their own growth with the expectation of increasing demand for their end products. Similarly, Philips uses RF to obtain preferred-buyer status with its suppliers and reduce the risk of disruption in times of shortage. Finally, RF programs have occasionally been initiated in response to disruptions in the financial markets. For example, WalMart’s “Supplier Alliance Program,” was offered to more than a thousand of its apparel suppliers, many of which SMEs, in the aftermath of the 2009 Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing by CIT Group Inc., an established commercial lender. The study of RF naturally lies on the interface of supply chain management and finance. While the availability of an alternative form of low-cost financing makes RF attractive to SMEs, the assessment of the tradeoff between lower cost of financing and payment-term extension requires an integrated finance/operations approach. From our discussions with SMEs that participate in RF programs, we realized that these companies are actively seeking to coordinate their financial (i.e. how much to factor) and operational (i.e. how much to produce) decisions, which fall under the responsibility of different functions within the organization, in order to optimize their overall returns. Moreover, since these firms rely heavily on their internal capital for financing small investment programs, it is equally important to assess how much cash can be freed up from their working capital without, though, jeopardizing their service levels. Motivated by our interaction with RF-financed SMEs, our research intends to answer the following questions: How is an SME’s inventory replenishment decision affected by the availability of RF financing? What is the value proposition for an SME and how is this affected by his operational and financial characteristics? While the focus of this paper is on the implications of RF financing for SME firms, our research also has interest for the buyers. By gaining insight on the operational impact and value potential of RF, the buyers can better select which suppliers to take onboard, decide whether and by how much to extend their payment terms, communicate the potential benefits to gain suppliers’ participation, and negotiate their service-level contractual terms. To address the first question, we study a multi-period model of a self-financed SME which replenishes his inventory to satisfy stochastic demand from a single downstream buyer in a lost-sales operating environment. The study of RF in a multi-period model is more suitable for capturing the supplier’s tradeoff between the benefit from the relaxation of his financial constraints at low cost and the higher financial needs from trade credit extension. We formulate our problem as a Markov decision process and derive the optimal inventory policy when the supplier: has no access to external financing; and is able to sell his A/R through RF or traditional factoring (TF). For both cases, we show that a working capital-dependent base-stock policy is optimal. In the second case, the optimal policy specifies the sell-up-to level of the A/R with regard to their time-to-maturity. To address the second question, we conduct a number of numerical experiments to assess the impact on the SME’s performance of some key operational parameters Supply chain finance 369 IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 370 involved in the problem, such as the SME’s working capital policy, demand variability, profit margin, and access to external financing. In line with the anecdotal evidence from trade journals, our results suggest that RF allows the supplier to unlock a considerable portion of his working capital, which can be used in other productive investments. Also, consistent with our intuition, the value of RF increases with the length of existing credit terms and with profit margin. However, the value of RF is not as high as intuitively expected when RF is associated with credit-term extension and the supplier has guaranteed access to TF, unless the credit spread between RF and TF is substantially large. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Next section provides a review of the related literature. Then, we analyze and derive the optimal policy for the basecase model of no access to financing and we extend our discussion to the RF and TF cases. Then, we present the results of our numerical analyses and discuss the managerial implications. Finally, we conclude with our summary and possible extensions. The technical results and proofs are presented in the Appendix. Literature review To put our work into a broader context, we provide a brief review of the streams of literature on the interface of supply chain and finance that are related to our paper: trade credit, sourcing from risky suppliers, inventory models with financial constraints, and receivables financing. Trade credit is an important source of financing for a capital-constrained firm. There are several theories in the finance literature that attempt to explain the purpose of trade credit such as price discrimination and financing advantages (see Petersen and Rajan, 1997 and Seifert et al., 2013 for reviews of this literature). The operations management stream of research treats trade credit as a demand risk-sharing mechanism. In this literature, the supplier of goods is usually a financially unconstrained firm, which, acting as the leader in a transactional game with a financially constrained retailer, decides on the credit terms to maximize his profit. In this transaction, the supplier trades off the higher returns from increased sales associated with favorable credit terms with the bankruptcy cost associated with downstream demand risk. Representative work in this field includes but is not limited to Kouvelis and Zhao (2012), Caldentey and Chen (2010), Yang and Birge (2010), and Cai et al. (2014) for single-period models; and Haley and Higgins (1973), Maddah et al. (2004), and Gupta and Wang (2009) for multi-period models. Our work is aligned with the market power rational of trade credit (Klapper, 2006), by which the credit terms are largely determined by the buyer’s bargaining power. In this context, our work studies the impact of financing solutions initiated by the buyers to help their financially constrained suppliers. Some papers more explicitly consider the issue of a buyer sourcing from risky suppliers. Babich et al. (2007) study the impact of suppliers’ default correlation on a buyer’s ordering diversification strategy. Babich (2010) studies the optimal joint capacity ordering and financial subsidy policy for a manufacturer sourcing from a capital-constrained supplier facing the risk of bankruptcy. Swinney and Netessine (2009) study the impact of long-term contracts, as a supply chain coordination mechanism, when a buyer sources from suppliers with uncertain production costs that are prone to default. While RF is intended to address similar concerns, our model does not treat buyers as strategic players because our focus is on supplier inventory policies in light of RF financing. Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) There are a few multi-period models in the existing literature that consider a firm’s optimal inventory policy in the presence of financial constraints with or without permissible delays in payments. Chao et al. (2008) study the dynamic inventory control problem with lost sales of a self-financed retailer and they show that a capitaldependent base-stock inventory policy is optimal. Shi et al. (2013) extend this model to consider access to riskless bank financing and derive similar results. Li et al. (2013) consider a firm that decides upon short-term debt, production quantity, and dividends to maximize shareholder value. Protopappa-Sieke and Seifert (2010) study the inventory decision of a self-financed firm that is subject to replenishment and payment delays and working capital restrictions; they use numerical analyses to show the sensitivity of the firm’s operational and financial performance on the problem’s parameters. Zeballos et al. (2013) extend this work to consider access to short-term debt. Luo and Shang (2013) study analytically a self-financed entrepreneurial firm that periodically orders inventory to satisfy non-decreasing demand with upstream and downstream payment delays. By utilizing a working capital approach and penalizing late payments to upstream suppliers, they prove that a myopic, working capitaldependent base-stock policy is optimal. As in Luo and Shang (2013), our paper studies the inventory replenishment decision of a self-financed firm with downstream payment delays. Our contribution to this research is twofold. First, we show that desirable properties of the focal firm’s profit function are preserved when we relax the firm’s financial constraint to incorporate provision of receivables financing. Second, we analytically show that a myopic base-stock policy is optimal for the relaxed problem and characterize it. Within the literature on receivables financing, Klapper’s (2006) empirical study suggests that TF and RF are growing financing sources for both large corporations and SMEs in countries with greater economic development and growth. Randall and Farris (2009) and Hofmann and Kotzab (2010) use a conceptual approach to demonstrate how value can be created when supply chain participants collaborate on their cash management and leverage on the cost of financing of the most creditworthy party in a supply chain. An early analytical model in the finance literature that focusses on a firm’s A/R factoring decision is the work of Sopranzetti (1999). The model solves for the breakeven point of a firm’s A/R credit quality above which factoring can help mitigate the firm’s underinvestment problem. Our work also relates to some recent research on asset-based lending, which can be considered a generalization of TF. Buzacott and Zhang (2004) study the impact of assetbased lending on the production decision of a capital-constrained manufacturing firm. In a manufacturer-bank game, they show that the availability of asset-based financing enhances the manufacturer’s ability to grow while any information asymmetry can be resolved when the bank decides both the credit limit and the interest rate. Our model is similar to the multi-period case in Buzacott and Zhang (2004); however, we consider stochastic instead of deterministic demand. The analytical study of RF is relatively limited. Tanrisever et al. (2012) study the operational and financial decisions of an SME, operating over a single period with stochastic demand arrival, when RF financing is available. They characterize the participation constraints for the supply chain members and show that the value of RF is greater when the credit spread is large, the payment extension period is short, the demand volatility is high, and the SME’s working capital requirements are relatively high. van der Vliet et al. (2015) study the same problem in a periodic-review infinitehorizon model with stochastic demand, in which the supplier decides both on his inventory base stock and his cash management policies. By means of simulation Supply chain finance 371 IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 372 optimization their findings on the supplier’s tradeoff between lower cost of financing and payment-term extension are similar to those of Tanrisever et al. (2012). Our work has similarities with the aforementioned research in the sense that we also study the supplier’s problem. A key difference is on the availability of unsecured bank financing which is excluded in our model. Also, with the cash retention policy being an external parameter in our model, we are able to analytically show the optimality of a base-stock policy. The base-case model Consider a periodic-review inventory control problem where a self-financed SME sells a single product to a single downstream buyer on credit. The SME is risk neutral and makes inventory replenishment decisions to meet stochastic demand over a T-period planning horizon. Let Dt be the demand realized during each period t, t ¼ 1,…,T. We assume that D1, …, DT are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) nonnegative random variables. Let f(⋅) and F(⋅) be, respectively, their probability density and cumulative distribution functions. Any unsold inventory in periods t ¼ 1, …, T−1 is carried over to be used in subsequent periods while unmet demand in each period is lost. This can be the case in a competitive business environment where the buyer can efficiently use several suppliers for satisfying her sourcing needs. Let p, c, and h be, respectively, the unit revenue, production cost, and inventory holding cost. For analytical tractability, we assume that at the end of the planning horizon, the unit salvage value of any leftover inventory is equal to the unit production cost c. We assume that the SME’s production costs are incurred at the beginning of each period, while his sales to the buyer take place under a net-term agreement. That is, trade credit is characterized by a single term that specifies the number of days after goods delivery – and invoice approval – within which the outstanding invoice is expected to be paid in full. We assume that the credit term is exogenously determined within the industry in which the SME operates (Klapper et al., 2010). For example, in the Procter & Gamble’s case discussed in the introduction, the firm justified her decision to extend her payment terms as a necessary alignment with the established terms in her industry. Let m denote the integer number of periods in the trade credit agreement. That is, payment for sales made in period t is due at the beginning of the period t + m + 1. Without loss of generality, the firm’s inventory replenishment and shipping lead times are zero. The SME has no access to external financing and his production decision is constrained by available cash at the beginning of the period (this assumption is relaxed in the next section where the RF case is studied). Our assumption of a self-financed SME is motivated by some recent empirical findings from the finance literature that suggest that, in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, firms of all sizes (and particularly SMEs) have seen their lines of credit shrink, face higher financing costs, and have difficulties in financing valuable investments (Ivashina and Scharfstein, 2010; Campello et al., 2010). Let w0 be the unit revenue that is retained for financing operations according to the firm’s working capital policy, 0 ⩽ w0 ⩽ p. Essentially, w0 is determined by the financial manager and summarizes how much of the supplier’s internally generated cash is tied up in financing his working capital. Since the growth of SMEs is usually constrained by their internal financing (Carpenter and Petersen, 2002), w0 also captures the SME’s cash allocation policy between short- and long-term investments. state by a vector The of the system at the beginning of each period is summarized the amount of on-hand inventory, z0t the available cash, xt ; z0t ; R 0t , where xt denotes and R 0t ¼ R0tm ; . . .; R0t1 the m-dimensional vector of the firm’s pending A/R. In our Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) notation, R0tm is the most mature A/R and corresponds to period’s t − m sales, the payment of which will materialize in period t+1. The sequence of events in each period is as follows: first, at the beginning of each period, after observing the available onhand inventory, xt, and cash, z0t , the firm makes his inventory replenishment decision, qt. Since the firm is self-financed and all production costs are incurred at the beginning of the period, the replenishment decision satisfies the cash constraint cqt p z0t . Second, during the period, demand Dt is realized and serviced by on-hand inventory, xt+qt. Under the lost-sales assumption, the satisfied demand in each period is equal to min (xt+qt, Dt). Finally, at the end of the period any unsold inventory, (xt+qt−Dt)+, with (a)+ ¼ max{a, 0}, is carried over to subsequent periods incurring the corresponding holding cost. The notation used in the paper is summarized in Nomenclature. Before proceeding with the mathematical of the model, it is convenient formulation to define yt ¼ xt + qt, zt ¼ xt þ z0t =c; R t ¼ 1=c R 0t , and w ¼ w0 /c. We refer to yt as the inventory level after the firm’s production decision, which will be the new decision variable instead of qt; zt represents the inventory equivalent of the cash level plus available inventory; and Rt represents the inventory equivalent (measured in units) of the A/R still pending. Let β be the single-period’s discount rate. Then, the expected profit function in each period, t ¼ 1, …, T, is given by: (1) Gt ðxt ; yt Þ ¼ E bm p min ðyt ; Dt Þhð yt Dt Þ þ cðyt xt Þ for xt ⩽ yt ⩽ zt, and the dynamics of the system are: xt þ 1 ¼ ðyt Dt Þ þ (2) zt þ 1 ¼ xt þ 1 þ Rtm þ zt yt (3) R t þ 1 ¼ ðRtm þ 1 ; . . .; Rt1 ; w min ðyt ; Dt ÞÞ (4) The first term in (1) is the expected present value of period t’s sales minus holding cost; the last term is the inventory replenishment cost. Notice that while the inventory holding cost is incorporated in the expected profit function, it is not considered in the cash flow dynamics in (3). We justify this by assuming that the firm uses accrual accounting for cost recognition; i.e., costs are recognized when they occur rather than when the payment is made (Luo and Shang, 2013). For example, h may represent insurance or obsolescence reserve costs which are settled at the end of the planning horizon. Also, notice that the A/R vector in (4) captures the portion of receivables that is retained for operations (as this is determined by w). We will maintain this convention throughout the paper. The decision problem for a risk-neutral firm is to decide upon an ordering policy to maximize the expected profit over the planning horizon, given an initial state (x1, z1, R1). Let Vt(xt, zt, Rt) be the maximum expected terminal wealth over all feasible solutions, given a state (xt, zt, Rt). This results in the following dynamic programming formulation: (5) V t ðxt ; zt ; R t Þ ¼ max Gt ðxt ; yt Þþ bE ½V t þ 1 ðxt þ 1 ; zt þ 1 ; R t þ 1 Þ V T þ 1 ðxT þ 1 ; zT þ 1 ; R T þ 1 Þ ¼ cxT þ 1 (6) The terminal wealth function, VT+1(⋅,⋅,⋅), does not contain any elements of the A/R vector since their expected present values have been incorporated into the profit functions, Gt(⋅,⋅), of the periods that they were realized. To this end, the A/R vector in the base-case model captures additional information that only affects the cash flow Supply chain finance 373 IJPDLM 46,4 constraint in subsequent periods. Consequently, the firm’s fundamental tradeoff is between investing in inventory to avoid lost sales vs incurring the inventory holding cost associated with this decision. 374 Optimal policy Next, we will show that a myopic policy is optimal for the dynamic problem presented above. The myopic maximization problem at period t can be written as: (7) maxxt p yt p zt J t ðyt Þ Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) where: J t ðyt Þ ¼ E bm p min ðyt ; Dt ÞðhbcÞðyt Dt Þ þ cyt (8) here βcE[(yt−Dt)+] represents the salvage value of unsold inventory in the myopic system. Observe that the myopic problem in (7) is a newsvendor type of problem. Let S be the optimal base-stock level for the unconstrained problem. Given that function (8) is concave in y, S is the classical newsvendor solution: bm pc (9) S ¼ F 1 m b p þ hbc Next, we establish the optimal policy for the myopic problem in (7): Lemma 1. For any given initial state (xt, zt, Rt), a state dependent base-stock policy y^ n ðx; zÞ is optimal for the myopic problem in (7), where: 8 > < z; if z p S; n y^ ðx; zÞ ¼ S; if x pS p z; > : x; otherwise: and S is given by (9). The proof is omitted. Lemma 1 states that the optimal base-stock level for the myopic problem, S, may not be achievable due to the working capital constraint represented by z. When x ⩽ S, the optimal achieved production quantity is min(z, S); whereas, if x W S, not producing is optimal. Therefore, the capital constraint in our model serves a similar role to the capacity constraint in inventory control problems (e.g. Angelus and Porteus, 2002). The optimal policies in both cases are capital/capacity-dependent although the capital constraint in our model is endogenous. Let ynt ðzt Þ ¼ minðzt ; S Þ and Bt ¼ fðxt ; zt Þ A R2 : xt p ynt ðzt Þg be the region where the initial inventory does not exceed the optimal base-stock level ynt ðzt Þ. We next state our main result in this section which is an adaptation of Proposition 4 in Luo and Shang (2013) to our model: P1. For the model (5)-(6), given an initial state (xt, zt, Rt) and (xt, zt)∈Bt, in each period t ¼ 1, …, T: (1) the objective function can be decomposed as Vt(xt, zt, Rt) ¼ cxt+Wt(zt, Rt), where Wt is jointly concave; and (2) a working capital-dependent base-stock policy is optimal, under which the optimal production up-to-level is ynt ðzt Þ ¼ minðzt ; S Þ, where S is given by (9). Supply chain finance Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) In words, if the on-hand inventory at the beginning of period 1, x1, is less than or equal to the unconstrained optimal base-stock level, S, a myopic policy that in each period raises inventory up to min(zt, S) is optimal for the multi-period model. The RF and TF models Having addressed the base-case model where the SME is self-financed, in this section we consider the case of an SME that can factor his receivables to obtain additional funds. In the RF model, the buyer initiates an RF program to facilitate the supplier’s financing of operations. The supplier may choose to factor the invoices from his trade transactions with the buyer after the invoices are approved, i.e., at any time after the end of the period when the corresponding sales are made. The buyer’s RF program is characterized by two terms, namely, rr and n. The first term, rr, is the period’s interest rate at which the relevant invoices are discounted when factored. We assume that rr ¼ rb+b, where rb is the interest rate applicable to the buyer and b is the bank’s fee for facilitating the program. The second term, n, is the new credit term required by the buyer. In order to participate in the RF program the supplier must agree to extending the credit period from m to n periods, where n⩾m. Following the same notation as in the base-case model, the state of the system at the 0 0 ; z ; R beginning of each period, t ¼ 1, …, T, is summarized by a vector x t t t , where R 0t ¼ R0tn ; . . .; R0t1 is now the n-dimensional vector of the firm’s retained A/Rs, the payment for which is still pending. In the RF model, the firm decides not only on the production quantity, qt, but also on whether to factor any of the pending A/Rs. We assume that the supplier can discount any portion of the outstanding A/R. From our discussions with SME suppliers to corporations in the consumer goods industry, we saw that invoice approvals take place on fixed dates in each month; therefore, each period’s A/R often contains a large number of distinct invoices, which justify this assumption. Let Lji denote the portion of the A/Rs generated in period i that is sold in period j, where j∈[i+1, i+n]. Then, the factoring decision in period t can be captured by the vector Lt ¼ Lttn ; . . .; Ltt1 , where Lttj p R0tj for all t ¼ 1, …, T and j ¼ 1, …, n. The expected profit function in each period, t ¼ 1, …, T, is then: Gt ðxt ; qt ; L t Þ ¼ E bn p min ðxt þ qt ; Dt Þhðxt þ qt Dt Þ þ cqt n h i X 1ð1r r Þj Lttn þ j1 (10) j¼1 P for 0 ⩽ cqt ⩽ z0t þ nj¼1 ð1 − r r Þ j Ltt−nþj−1 and Ltt−j ⩽ R0t−j , for all t=1, …, T and j=1, …, n. The last term in (10) corresponds to the interest charged by the bank when the supplier sells some of his pending A/Rs. In the next section, we study the properties of the expected profit function and derive the optimal policy for the single-period problem as an intermediate step before addressing the multi-period problem. The single-period RF case To reduce the dimension of the problem, we argue that whenever the supplier resorts to factoring of his A/Rs to finance his operations, it is optimal to do so in decreasing A/R 375 IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 376 maturity order. In other words, the supplier will be better off if at time t he sells a more mature A/R, say R0tn , before selling any part of the less mature A/R, say R0tn þ 1 , since the cost associated with the latter is higher. To see this, notice that, in the expected profit function (10), the penalty from selling any layer of A/R increases with the A/R’s time-to-maturity. Therefore, when adapted to the single-period myopic problem, the expected profit function in (10) can be written as: J t qt ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t ¼ E½bn p min ðxt þ qt ; Dt ÞðhbcÞðxt þ qt Dt Þ þ cqt 1 1 cqt z0t 1fz0 o cqt p z0 þ ð1rr ÞR0tn g t t 1r r " j n1 X X 1 1 0 1 Rtn þ i1 þ 1 i ð1r r Þ ð1r r Þj þ 1 j¼1 i¼1 !# j X i 0 0 cqt zt ð1r r Þ Rtn þ i1 i¼1 1 fz0t þ P j i¼1 ð1r r Þi R0tn þ i1 o cqt p z0t þ jþ1 P ð1r r Þi R0tn þ i1 g (11) i¼1 where 1{⋅} is the indicator function (i.e. 1{x W 0} ¼ 1 if x W 0, and 0 otherwise). The number of terms of the expected profit function in (11) is driven by the credit term, n. Consequently, the last n terms in (11) correspond to the interest charged by the bank when the supplier sells his pending A/Rs in increasing maturity order. For example, consider the case that the SME’s production decision, q t , is such that z0t o cqt p z0t þ ð1r r ÞR0tn , i.e., the SME factors only his most mature A/R. Then, the first indicator function in (11) will be equal to 1 and the corresponding term will represent the interest paid to the bank for that decision, while the remaining n−1 indicators will be equal to 0. Notice that through the indicator functions, it is now the inventory replenishment decision, qt, that drives the depletion of A/R. Consequently, the problem is reduced to one with a single decision variable. Lemma 2 provides the properties of the myopic single-period’s profit function: Lemma 2. The function J t ðqt ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t Þ is continuous in qt, xt,z0t , and R 0t , and has the following properties: h i P (1) it is concave in qt, for qt A xt ; xt þ 1c z0t þ nj¼1 ð1r r Þj R0tn þ j1 ; and (2) it is increasing and concave in xt, z0t , and R 0t (component-wise). Lemma 2 suggests that there is an optimal inventory replenishment policy that maximizes the single period expected profit function of (11). To characterize the optimal solution, it is convenient to introduce new system variables and definitions as in the previous section. Define y t ¼ x t+qt , R t ¼ 1=c R 0t , and the vector t1 0 tn ¼ zt þ ð1r r ÞRtn , and so on up z t ¼ ðzt ; ztn t ; . . .; zt Þ, where zt ¼ xt þ zt =c, zt n t1 t2 to zt ¼ zt þ ð1r r Þ Rt1 . Here, the first element of the vector zt represents the inventory equivalent of the cash level at the beginning of the period plus the available inventory, while the subsequent elements correspond to the same quantity supplemented with the inventory equivalent from selling each layer of the A/R vector in decreasing maturity order. Also, define: ! bn pð1rc Þk bn pc 1 1 r and stn þ k1 ¼ F ; S¼F bn p þ hbc bn p þ hbc Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) for k ¼ 1; 2; . . .; n: (12) The quantities S, st−n, …, and st−1 represent the optimal inventory replenishment decisions (order-up-to levels), as they are derived from the first-order condition of (11), and correspond to dives in the A/R layers in decreasing maturity order. For example, st−n is the optimal order-up-to level when the firm only sells part of the most mature A/R, R0tn . Notice that the optimal production decisions, S, st−n, …, and st−1, are t1 p zt1 achievable only if S ⩽ zt, stn p ztn t , …, and s t , respectively. Next, we formalize the optimal policy for the single-period problem: Lemma 3. For any given initial state (xt, zt), a capital-dependent base-stock policy ynt ðxt ; z t Þ is optimal for the myopic problem in (11), where: ynt ðxt ; z t Þ ¼ 8 max fxt ; S g; > > > > > zt ; > > > > > stn ; > > > > ztn ; > > > > t > <... stn þ k ; > > > > þk > ztn ; > t > > > > > ... > > > > > st1 ; > > > : zt1 ; t if S p zt ; if stn p zt o S; if zt o stn p ztn t ; if stn þ 1 p ztn o stn ; t ... þ k1 þk if ztn o stn þ k p ztn ; k ¼ 1; . . .; n2; t t (13) þk if stn þ k þ 1 p ztn o stn þ k ; k ¼ 1; . . .; n2; t ... if zt2 o st1 p zt1 t t ; t1 if zt o st1 ; and S, st−n, …, and st−1 are given by (12). The proof is omitted. The cases considered in (13) are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive; thus, there can only be one optimal decision for any initial state realization. Figure 1 depicts the construction of the optimal policy in Lemma 3 when n ¼ 3. The different curves correspond to the first-order derivatives of the expected profit function for different utilizations of A/R layers in financing production. For example, the solid line that crosses the horizontal axis at y ¼ S (the unconstrained optimal) corresponds to the first-order derivative of (11) for yt ⩽ zt. It follows that if zt ⩾ S, the optimal replenishment decision is given by max{xt, S}. Similarly, if st−3 ⩽ zt o S, the optimal replenishment decision is equal to zt since the marginal profit from selling the most mature A/R (as given by the corresponding dotted line) is negative in this region. In general, the optimal policy is automatically determined if we position the working capital vector, zt, in parallel to the horizontal axis and examine the position of the breaking points (of zt) relative to the first-order condition crossing points. Supply chain finance 377 IJPDLM 46,4 G (x ,y ,z ) y t t t t yz t z t yz t t– 3 t– 2 z tt– 3yz t z tt – 2yz tt–1 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 378 Figure 1. Construction of the single-period optimal policy (Lemma 3) for n ¼ 3 0 s t –1 s t –2 s t–3 S y ztt–3 zt ztt–2 ztt–1 0 In Figure 2, we provide an example for n ¼ 3, given an arbitrary initial state (xt, zt). First, notice that the profit function is not differentiable at the breaking points. Also, t2 are not large enough to reach their corresponding optimal notice that zt, zt3 t , and zt inventory replenishment decision, S, st−3, and st−2, respectively. So, the firm must decide whether or not to sell the most recent A/R. However, by doing so, the marginal profit for the firm would be negative. Therefore, the optimal decision would be to raise inventory up to zt2 t ; that is, to sell the two most mature A/Rs, but not the latest one, o st2 . which is what Lemma 3 suggests for st1 p zt2 t The multi-period RF case Once the single-period case has been studied, in this section we derive the optimal policy for the multi-period RF model. With the variable transformations introduced in the singleperiod RF case, the dynamic programming model of the problem under study can be written as: V t ðxt ; z t Þ ¼ max fGt ðxt ; yt ; z t Þþ bE½V t þ 1 ðxt þ 1 ; z t þ 1 Þg (14) V T þ 1 ðxT þ 1 ; z T þ 1 Þ ¼ cxT þ 1 (15) G (x ,y ,z ) y t t t t Optimal solution y* = z tt–2 Figure 2. Example of the application of Lemma 3 for n ¼ 3 and for arbitrary initial state (xt, zt) 0 s t– 1 zt z tt– 3 z tt–2 s t– 2 s t– 3 S zt Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) for xt pyt p zt1 t , where: Gt ðxt ; yt ; z t Þ ¼ E bn pminðyt ; Dt Þhðyt Dt Þ þ cðyt xt Þ 1 1 cðyt zt Þ 1fzt o yt p ztn g t 1r r " j1 n1 X X 1 þi þ i1 c 1 ztn ztn t t iþ1 ð1r r Þ i¼0 j¼1 1 þ j1 þ 1 yt ztn 1ztn þ j1 o y p ztn þ j t jþ1 t t t ð1r r Þ Supply chain finance 379 (16) where in (16) we use the convention that ztn1 zt . The dynamics of the states are t given by: xt þ 1 ¼ ð yt Dt Þ þ (17) þ1 t z t þ 1 ¼ zt þ 1 ; ztn t þ 1 ; . . .; zt þ 1 (18) where: zt þ 1 ¼ xt þ 1 þ ðzt yt Þ þ þ þ1 ztn ¼ zt þ 1 þ t þ1 þ 1 Þ ðztn min yt ; ztn t 1r r t 1 þ1 þ1 þ ðztn min yt ; ztn Þ t t 1r r þk þ k1 ztn ¼ ztn þ t þ1 t þ1 1 tn þ k ðz minð yt ; zttn þ k ÞÞ þ 1r r t for k ¼ 2, …, n−1, and: n ztt þ 1 ¼ zt1 t þ 1 þ ð1r r Þ w minð yt ; D t Þ (19) We next define the set Bt ¼ {(xt, zt)∈R : xt ⩽ S}, which establishes the region where the initial inventory does not exceed the unconstrained optimal base-stock level S. Consequently, for (xt, zt)∈Bt, the single-period optimal inventory replenishment decision from Lemma 3 is only a function of zt; i.e., ynt ðxt ; z t Þ ¼ ynt ðz t Þ. Having presented the problem, we show next that a base-stock policy is optimal: n+2 P2. For the model (14)-(16), given an initial state (xt, zt)∈Bt, in each period t ¼ 1, …, T: (1) the objective function can be decomposed as Vt(xt, zt) ¼ cxt+Wt(zt), where Wt is jointly concave; and (2) a working capital-dependent base-stock policy is optimal where the optimal production up-to-level is ynt ðz t Þ, as given by (13). P2 states that if the on-hand inventory at the beginning of period 1, x1, is less than or equal to the unconstrained optimal base-stock level, S, then, in each period IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 380 t ¼ 1, …, T, the capital-dependent base-stock policy specified by the myopic problem is optimal. The optimality of a myopic solution, when the supplier operates in an environment characterized by stationary demand and cost parameters, is useful since it simplifies the decisions of the firm’s operations and financial managers. In particular, the firm’s managers, instead of dealing with the complicate longer term problem (given by the dynamic programming model), will only have to consider each period’s starting conditions to make their planning decisions for the period. We do not explicitly model the TF problem because its only difference from the presented RF model is on the applicable terms. In particular, the interest rate for TF, let rt, is expected to be strictly greater than rr. This is due to the deadweight costs related with bankruptcy risk, information asymmetry, and other agency costs a bank is subject to in its transactions with an SME (Dietsch and Petey, 2002), which are eliminated with the buyer’s intermediation in an RF arrangement. Therefore, our results in this section also hold for the TF model upon simply replacing (rr, n) with (rt, m) since TF does not involve any credit extensions. Numerical study Having analytically derived the SME’s optimal policy for each of the cases studied in the previous two sections, in this part we conduct a series of numerical experiments to assess the impact of the operational parameters involved in the problem on the SME’s performance. We use Monte Carlo simulation to test the firm’s performance in each case, since an analytical comparison is not possible due to the endogenous nature of the financial state of the system. Our parameter selection was carefully made to reflect the operating environment of an SME. However, our analysis is not exhaustive but is concentrated on the impact of some key parameter values on the firm’s performance. As such, our numerical simulations serve exposition purposes and, being subject to limitations, need to be verified in practice. We consider a supplier that operates over a 12-month planning horizon and we test three scenarios, denoted by S(m, n), for (m, n) values of (1,2), (2,3), and (2,2). Thus, RF is associated with a credit extension of one period in the first two scenarios, whereas there is no credit extension in the third scenario. The demand in each period is normally distributed (truncated to avoid negative realizations) with μ ¼ 100 and σ ¼ 30. In each simulation 1,000 replications are generated. The nominal parameter values are fixed to p ¼ 1.4, c ¼ 1, w0 ¼ 1, h ¼ 0.2, β ¼ 0.9975, and rr ¼ 0.005. The selection for w0 being equal to the production cost is reasonable for an SME that faces i.i.d. demand and that relies on internally generated cash to finance his capital investments. The selection for rr corresponds to an annual rate of about 6 percent (a buyer interest rate of 5 percent plus an 1 percent bank fee), which is in line with the figures provided in Seifert and Seifert’s (2009) study of 23 RF programs. The initial inventory, x1, is fixed to zero under all of the scenarios, while the initial cash and A/R vector, z01 ; R 01 is fixed to (60,60,60), (60,60,60,60), and (120,60,60) for S(1, 2), S(2, 3), and S(2, 2), respectively. For example, the three values of 60 in the S(1, 2) scenario correspond to the initial cash level, the most mature A/R, and the most recent A/R. Accordingly, when the supplier does not participate in RF (and consequently, does not concede any credit extension), z01 ; R 01 is equal to (120,60) and (120,60,60) for scenarios S(1,2) and S(2,3), respectively. Our selection for z01 ; R 01 is consistent with our focus on the operational decisions and performance of a moderately cash-constrained SME. Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) Table I shows the results of our simulations with the nominal parameter values for some key performance variables. The profit calculation corresponds to the present value of the earnings from operations at the end of the planning horizon and incorporates the inventory holding cost. Total inventory refers to the sum of achieved base-stock level over the 12 periods. On average, the RF case results outperform the ones without RF, in terms of both service level and profitability, under all scenarios. To test the significance of the profit differences shown in Table I we conducted, per scenario, a paired difference test for means (t-test) at 99.9 percent confidence level. The t-statistics ( p-values) are equal to 23.5 (8.4E−98), 40.7 (1.8E−214), and 51.9 (3.4E−286) for scenarios (1,2), (2,3), and (2,2), respectively. These results suggest that the profit under RF is significantly greater than that without. The demand coverage performance with RF is always greater than that without due to the flexibility RF provides (through the relaxation of the cash constraint) in supporting a replenishment decision as close as possible to the unconstrained optimal. Total inventory with RF is no less than 0.5 percent of the unconstrained optimal (as shown in the left panels of Figure 3 for w ¼ 1) under all scenarios. Consequently, the impact of RF on demand coverage is very close to the expected performance of the unconstrained supplier. While the service-level volatility (as reflected on the corresponding ranges) with RF is low, that is not the case with profit. This is due to the fact that performance on profit is more sensitive to demand realizations. While in our simulations the profit with RF is, on average, no less than 1.25 percent of the achieved profit of an unconstrained SME under all scenarios, there is no guarantee that RF will always outperform the “no RF” operations. Our simulations outcomes show that the profit without RF is greater than the profit with 25.2, 8.1, and 3.9 percent of the times in scenarios S(1, 2), S(2, 3), and S(2, 2), respectively. The results in Table I also show that the value of RF increases with the credit term, as the average profit differential under scenarios S(2, 3) and S(2, 2) is considerably greater than that in scenario S(1, 2). This may explain why RF is usually adopted in supply chains that already operate with long upstream payment delays. Finally, we tested the sensitivity of the supplier’s performance on the initial conditions, as determined by the size of the elements of the z01 ; R 01 vector. We considered the cases of 10 percent richer and 10 percent poorer supplier. Our results show that the SME’s performance with RF, in terms of both profitability and service level, is quite robust. In the “no RF” case, though, the performance is sensitive to the initial conditions with the adverse impact from a 10 percent decrease to the initial conditions be greater than the favorable impact from a 10 percent increase. While it is intuitive that the more financially constrained an SME is the greater the value proposition of RF, this result may also have implications for an SME operating in an environment where the demand demonstrates some seasonality. With seasonal demand, the SME may find himself with less (more) cash at the end of the low (high) demand cycle. Then, the robustness of the RF results implies that the SME’s performance may be less sensitive to the cash fluctuations inherent in a seasonal demand environment. Impact of working capital policy One key argument in trade journals on the benefits of RF is the potential for a substantial reduction in the net working capital for both parties. Consequently, the working capital that is freed-up due to RF financing may be used in other investments. Supply chain finance 381 324.9 (216.0, 345.4) 71.2 (57.5, 90.1) 10% poorer Profit ($) 355.3 (249.6, 391.9) 391.1 (251.5, 510.0) Demand coverage (%) 78.2 (63.1, 96.7) 93.2 (80.2, 100.0) Note: The minimum and maximum are shown in parentheses RF 386.0 (213.5, 491.0) 92.8 (81.2, 100.0) 389.5 (249.6, 503.1) 93.0 (79.8, 100.0) 386.8 (241.8, 496.9) 92.9 (81.7, 100.0) 10.15 (−12.2, 31.0) 28.20 (11.0, 38.7) S(2, 3) 350.6 (253.9, 383.7) 78.1 (63.1, 93.9) No RF 373.5 (241.4, 421.2) 84.1 (68.8, 98.4) 393.5 (250.0, 503.7) 92.8 (81.1, 100.0) 3.63 (−11.4, 16.4) 16.63 (7.2, 23.4) RF 394.4 (253.0, 508.5) 93.1 (80.8, 100.0) 395.2 (232.8, 478.0) 89.4 (74.3, 100.0) 10% richer Profit ($) Demand coverage (%) Table I. Supplier’s average operational performance 379.2 (258.7, 435.4) 84.2 (70.4, 100.0) S(1, 2) 324.1 (218.8, 345.4) 71.5 (56.2, 95.2) 373.8 (248.2, 422.0) 83.9 (65.5, 99.6) RF 393.7 (236.0, 505.6) 93.1 (81.7, 100.0) 399.4 (233.3, 517.3) 93.2 (81.6, 100.0) 395.7 (219.9, 498.4) 93.1 (82.6, 100.0) 12.72 (−12.2, 33.1) 29.25 (9.5, 39.7) S(2, 2) 350.5 (244.4, 383.7) 78.1 (62.9, 95.9) No RF 382 Nominal Profit ($) Demand coverage (%) ΔProfit (% over no RF) ΔTotal inventory no RF) No RF Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) IJPDLM 46,4 Total inventory (no. of items) Total inventory (no. of items) 1.1 m =2, n =3 w( ) 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 w( ) 1.3 RF No RF 1.4 Unconstrained 1.3 300 350 400 450 200 200 1 1 500 0.9 0.9 250 300 350 250 0.8 0.8 RF No RF Unconstrained 400 450 700 900 1,100 1,300 1,500 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 m =1, n=2 Total profit ( ) 1,500 Total profit ( ) 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1 1 w( ) 1.1 m =2, n=3 w( ) 1.1 m=1, n=2 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 No RF 1.4 RF No RF 1.4 RF Supply chain finance 383 Figure 3. Impact of working capital policy on supplier’s operational performance IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 384 This potential is obvious for a buyer that links her RF program to credit-term extension due to the resulting increase in her accounts payable. To explore the impact of RF on the supplier’s working capital, we test the SME’s operational performance relative to his working capital policy, as captured by the retained unit revenue. The rationale is that if the supplier’s performance with RF is satisfactory under a more aggressive working capital policy (i.e. smaller w), then he may decide to retain less for current investment and more for long-term investment (e.g. fixed assets). For a self-financed SME, a smaller w translates to a direct reduction in working capital. Figure 3 shows the impact of w on the SME’s performance. The dotted line corresponds to the optimal replenishment decision of an unconstrained supplier. The SME’s performance with RF is comparable to that achieved with more conservative working capital policies (i.e. larger w) and “no RF.” Table II summarizes the simulation results for a case where w is equal to 0.9 and 1, respectively, for RF and “no RF.” Even with a more aggressive working capital policy, with RF the service level is always higher, whereas the profit is, on average, slightly higher in scenario S(1, 2) and significantly improved in scenarios S(2, 3) and S(2, 2). These results agree with the findings in Seifert and Seifert (2011) that the average working capital reduction from RF for suppliers is 14 percent. Consequently, in evaluating his participation in an RF program, an SME should also consider the flexibility that RF provides in productive usages of his freed-up working capital. For example, consider an SME that evaluates a capital investment on some productivity improving equipment, but the cost of external financing (if available) makes this investment unattractive. With RF, the SME could temporarily use a more aggressive working capital policy and use the freed-up working capital to finance the cash outflows associated with the investment, without jeopardizing his service level with the buyer. Impact of demand variability and profit margin As one would expect, the value of RF when compared to “no RF” decreases with demand variability and increases with profit margin (Figure 4). This is a direct consequence of the inventory replenishment decision with RF being closer to the unconstrained optimal. Thus, the SME is able to realize a higher profit when the demand uncertainty is low and the profit margin is higher. Impact of access to external financing Next, we test how RF performs in relation to TF as a function of rt. As expected, since both TF and RF enable an inventory replenishment decision that is close to the unconstrained optimal, in our simulations the total inventory in both cases is almost S(1, 2) No RF (w ¼ 1) Table II. Supplier’s average operational performance with an aggressive working capital policy under RF Profit Demand coverage (%) ΔProfit (% over no RF) ΔTotal inventory (% over no RF) S(2, 3) RF (w ¼ 0.9) No RF (w ¼ 1) S(2, 2) RF (w ¼ 0.9) No RF (w ¼ 1) RF (w ¼ 0.9) 379.1 (272.1, 434.4) 382.7 (247.5, 456.3) 350.8 (247.5, 383.7) 383.5 (219.4, 500.3) 350.7 (238.2, 383.7) 392.9 (231.8, 500.3) 84.5 (71.4, 98.7) 88.5 (75.3, 100.0) 78.4 (62.3, 94.3) 93.0 (78.0, 100.0) 78.4 (62.4, 99.7) 93.2 (74.9, 100.0) 0.99 (−10.6, 18.3) 9.16 (−12.8, 30.4) 11.86 (−12.2, 31.3) 7.44 (1.6, 15.6) 28.31 (9.2, 38.6) 28.70 (12.7, 39.2) Note: The minimum and maximum are shown in parentheses Total inventory (no. of items) Total inventory (no. of items) 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 1.2 10 1.4 20 p( ) 1.6 m=2, n=3 30 m=2, n=3 1.8 40 RF No RF 2 50 Unconstrained RF No RF Unconstrained Total profit ( ) 1,500 Total profit ( ) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1.2 10 1,200 300 350 400 450 500 1.4 20 p( ) 1.6 m=2, n=3 30 m=2, n=3 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 1.8 40 50 RF 2 No RF RF No RF Supply chain finance 385 Figure 4. Impact of demand uncertainty and profit margin on supplier’s operational performance IJPDLM 46,4 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 386 identical. Also, one would expect RF to outperform TF, due to the lower cost of financing, under all circumstances. To see this, notice that under TF the cost of selling $1 of an A/R with time-to-maturity equal to one period is equal to rt. Under RF, the cost of selling $1 of an A/R with time-to-maturity equal to two or three periods is $0.009975 and $0.014925, respectively. Thus, given that the inventory replenishment decision is identical in both RF and TF, RF is expected to consistently outperform TF for all values of rt ⩾ 0.015 under all scenarios. However, the results shown in Figure 5 contradict our intuition, even when we eliminate the impact of the discount factor, β, on the profit function for each period (bottom panels in Figure 5). The explanation for this counterintuitive result lies in the impact of the longer payment term (associated with RF) on the supplier’s capability to finance his inventory replenishment decision without resorting to A/R liquidation. Our results show that under TF the supplier does not need to sell any A/Rs to finance his production decision 20.1 and 13.2 percent of the times in the S(1, 2) and S(2, 3) scenarios, respectively. The corresponding numbers for the RF case are 0.13 and 0.02 percent. Finally, Figure 6 shows that the benefit for a supplier increases almost linearly with the spread between RF and TF, as expressed by the ratio rt/rr, when there is no credit-term extension involved with RF. In our discussions with SMEs we found that the cost differential between RF and other types of bank financing (such as TF or asset-based financing) can be quite high. However, if the suppliers have access to external financing with relatively competitive terms, they may be reluctant to participate in an RF program involving a credit-term extension. In these cases, and particularly if sourcing from alternative suppliers is expensive, buyers may benefit if they associate their RF program with a service-level clause instead of a credit-term extension. Conclusions and future work This paper studies the implications of RF financing on the operational decisions and performance of a cash-constrained SME. We model the SME’s problem as a multi-stage dynamic program and derive his optimal policy for the case of no access to external financing and the cases of receivables financing through RF and TF. Under mild assumptions, we find that a working capital-dependent base-stock policy is optimal. For the RF and TF cases, the optimal policy specifies the A/R maturity level-up-to at which selling the corresponding invoice is profitable. Our numerical experiments suggest that RF considerably improves the SME’s operational performance; its value is higher in industries that operate with long credit periods; it increases the robustness of the SME’s performance to cash fluctuations; and it provides the potential to unlock more than 10 percent of SME’s working capital. However, when RF is associated with credit-term extension and the SME has access to alternative sources of financing (such as TF), the value of RF is not as high as intuitively expected unless the credit spread is quite large. Our results have clear implications for the supply chain and financial managers of both SMEs and buyers in understanding the potential and trade-offs associated with RF. A key takeaway is that the SMEs, when evaluating their participation in RF programs, they should consider not only the direct benefit from increased service level and profitability, but also the potential for profitable usages of the freed-up working capital. The buyers, on the other hand, should consider the financial flexibility of their suppliers when deciding the terms of their RF programs, since arbitrary selections of credit extension may fail to induce the participation of relatively strong suppliers with adverse effects on the existing service levels. 0.0125 rt 0.015 0.0175 0.01 0.0125 rt 0.015 0.0175 0.015 375 370 0.0075 370 0.0075 385 390 395 400 rt 0.015 0.0175 RF 0.0125 0.0175 TF 0.01 rt m=2, n=3, =1 0.0125 RF TF 405 380 0.02 0.01 m=2, n=3, =0.9975 410 415 420 375 RF 385 0.02 370 0.0075 375 380 385 390 395 400 405 410 415 420 380 TF 390 395 400 405 410 415 420 370 0.0075 m=1, n=2, =1 RF 380 375 TF 0.01 m=1, n=2, =0.9975 385 390 395 400 405 410 415 420 Total profit ( ) Total profit ( ) Total profit ( ) Total profit ( ) Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 0.02 0.02 Supply chain finance 387 Figure 5. Comparison of TF and RF on supplier’s operational performance IJPDLM 46,4 4.00 m=2, n=2 3.50 % profit increase 3.00 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 388 Figure 6. Impact of TF-RF credit differential on supplier’s profit 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 rt /rr There is fertile area for future research on supply chain finance for SMEs. First, our work could possibly be extended to consider other issues that are important in evaluating an RF program, such as non-stationary demand characteristics, different levels for supplier’s financial flexibility, and uncertainty in the buyer’s creditworthiness. Empirical research, based on SME case studies or analysis of supplier-portfolios for a specific buyer/industry, may further test our findings on the pecking order of A/R factoring, service-level improvement, and freed-up working capital, and enhance our understanding of the RF value proposition. 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We prove both (1) and (2) by induction. For t ¼ T: V T ðxT ; zT ; R T Þ ¼ maxxT p yT p zT GT ðxT ; yT Þþ bE cð yT DT Þ þ ¼ maxxT p yT p zT E bm p minð yT ; DT ÞðhbcÞð yT DT Þ þ cð yT xT Þ This is the single-period problem, where given Lemma 1 and when (xT, zT)∈BT, ynT ðzT Þ ¼ minðzT ; S Þ. Moreover, V T ðxT ; zT ; R T Þ ¼ cxT þ J T ynT ðzT Þ is achievable. Assume that for (xt+1, zt+1)∈Bt+1, Vt+1(xt+1, zt+1, Rt+1) ¼ cxt+1+Wt+1(zt+1, Rt+1), where Wt+1(zt+1, Rt+1) is jointly concave, and ynt þ 1 ðzt þ 1 Þ ¼ minðzt þ 1 ; S Þ is optimal. Then, for (xt, zt)∈Bt the value function in period t, Vt(xt, zt, Rt), can be written as: V t ðxt ; zt ; R t Þ ¼ maxxt p yt p zt Gt ðxt ; yt Þ þbE ½V t þ 1 ðxt þ 1 ; zt þ 1 ; R t þ 1 Þ ¼ maxxt p yt p zt E bm pminðyt ; Dt Þhðyt Dt Þ þ cðyt xt Þ þbE V t þ 1 ð yt Dt Þ þ ; ð yt Dt Þ þ þRtm þzt yt ; R t þ 1 We will consider two cases for (xt, zt)∈Bt: Case 1. zt ⩽ S. In this case we claim that yt ¼ zt is optimal. To see this, note that xt+1 ¼ (zt−Dt)+ ⩽ S and xt+1 ¼ (zt − Dt)+ ⩽ xt+1+Rt−n+1 ¼ zt+1; thus, xt+1 ⩽ min(zt+1, S), i.e., (xt+1, zt+1)∈Bt+1. Define the (m−1)-dimension vector resulting after removal of the first element from Rt as R 1 t . Then, from induction and Lemma 1: V t ðxt ; zt ; R t Þ ¼ maxxt p yt p zt E bm p minð yt ; Dt Þhð yt Dt Þ þ cðyt xt Þ þ bE ½xt þ 1 þbE ½W t þ 1 ðzt þ 1 ; R t þ 1 Þ n ¼ cxt þmaxxt p yt p zt E bm p minð yt ; Dt Þhð yt Dt Þ þ cyt þbE ð yt Dt Þ þ h io ; w min ð z ; D Þ þbE W t þ 1 ðzt Dt Þ þ þ Rtm þzt yt ; R 1 t t t ¼ cxt þW t ðzt ; R t Þ where W t ðzt ; R t Þ ¼ J t ðzt Þþ bE½W t þ 1 ððzt Dt Þ þ þRtm ; ðR 1 t ; w minðzt ; D t ÞÞÞ, which for (xt, zt) ∈ Bt is achievable: Case 2. zt W S. In this case we claim that yt ¼ S is optimal. To see this, note that xt+1 ¼ (S−Dt)+ ⩽ S and xt+1 ¼ (S − Dt)+ ⩽ xt+1 + Rt−n+1 + zt − S ¼ zt+1; thus, xt+1⩽min(zt+1, S ), i.e., (xt+1, zt+1) ∈ Bt+1. Then, from induction and Lemma 1: V t ðxt ; zt ; R t Þ ¼ maxxt p yt p zt E½bm p min ð yt ; Dt Þhð yt Dt Þ þ cð yt xt Þ Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) þbE ½xt þ 1 þ bE ½W t þ 1 ðzt þ 1 ; R t þ 1 Þ n ¼ cxt þ maxxt p yt p zt E bm p minð yt ; Dt Þhð yt Dt Þ þ cyt þ bE ð yt Dt Þ þ h io þbE W t þ 1 ð yt Dt Þ þ þ Rtm þzt yt ; R 1 t ; w minð yt ; D t Þ ¼ cxt þW t ðzt ; R t Þ where W t ðzt ; R t Þ ¼ J t ðS Þ þbE½W t þ 1 ððSDt Þ þ þRtm þzt S; ðR 1 t ; w minðS; Dt ÞÞÞ, which for (xt, zt)∈Bt is achievable. Summarizing the above two cases, we prove the optimality of the y*(z) base-stock policy and the decomposition of Vt(xt, zt, Rt). Moreover, since Wt+1(⋅,⋅) is jointly concave from induction, Wt(⋅,⋅) is also jointly concave. Therefore, the sufficient conditions for a myopic optimal (Heyman and Sobel, 1984, Section 3.3) are satisfied. Proof of Lemma 2. The continuity in qt is straightforward. To show the concavity of the profit function in qt, notice that despite the fact that the function is not differentiable at the breaking points, we can still consider the first-order and second-order derivatives. Differentiating (11) with respect to qt yields: 8 n b pcðbn p þhbcÞF ðxt þqt Þ; > > > n c > b p1r ðbn pþ hbcÞF ðxt þqt Þ; > > r > > > > < n n @ c 0 0 J q ; xt ; zt ; R t ¼ b pð1rr Þ j ðb p þ hbcÞF ðxt þ qt Þ; > @qt t t > > > > > > > for j ¼ 2; . . .; n > > : if cqt pz0t ; if z0t o cqt p z0t þ ð1r r ÞR0tn ; if z0t þ j1 X ð1rr Þi R0tn þ i1 ocqt i¼1 p z0t þ j X ð1rr Þi R0tn þ i1 : i¼1 and ð@2 =@q2t Þ J t qt ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t ¼ ðbn p þhbcÞf ðxt þ qt Þ. P Thus, the concavity for all qt A ½xt ; xt þð1=cÞ ðz0t þ nj¼1 ð1rr Þ j R0tn þ j1 Þ follows directly 0 2 from ð@ =@q2t Þ J t ðqt ; xt ; z0t ; R t Þo 0. To show the increasing property and joint concavity in xt, z0t , and R 0t , we first examine the first-order derivatives: @ J q ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t ¼ bn pðbn p þhbcÞF ðxt þ qt Þ @xt t t @ J q ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t ¼ @z0t t t n1 X 1 1 1 1fz0t o cqt o z0t þ ð1rr ÞR0tn g þ 1 jþ1 1rr ð 1r rÞ j¼1 1 z0t þ j P k¼1 ð1rr Þk R0tn þ k1 o cqt o z0t þ jþ1 P k¼1 ð1rr Þk R0tn þ k1 Supply chain finance 391 IJPDLM 46,4 ∂ J ∂R0t−nþk t n−2 1 1 qt ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t ¼ ∑ − −1 þ −1 ð1−rr Þkþ1 kþ1 ð1−rr Þ ð1−rr Þ jþ2 j¼k 1 jþ1 jþ2 i¼1 i¼1 z0t þ∑ ð1−rr Þi R0t−nþi−1 <cqt <z0t þ∑ ð1−rr Þi R0t−nþi−1 Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) 392 for k ¼ 0, ..., n−2 The increasing property follows from the fact that all first-order derivatives are positive (look at the remarks below). Taking the second-order derivative we get ð@2 =@x2t Þ J t qt ; xt ; z0t ; R 0t ¼ ðbn p þhbcÞf ðxt þ qt Þo 0, while the second-order derivative for z0t and the A/R elements is zero. Then, the joint concavity in xt, z0t , and R 0t follows from the fact that the corresponding Hessian is negative semi-definite. Some remarks follow: (1) Notice that the first-order derivative of the profit function with regard to an A/R element may not be positive for some rr. By solving for rr, we can show that the profit function increases in A/Rs with maturity of two, three, four, five, and six periods as long as rr is less than or equal to 38, 15, 7, 4, and 3 percent, respectively. For short planning period intervals (say one to three months), the corresponding RF discount factor is expected to be well below these values. (2) We do not consider the derivative over R0t1 since this quantity appears in the last term of the profit function at the indicator function. However, we argue that the profit function also weakly increases in R0t1 by considering two cases. If the optimal qt is not a boundary solution, the derivative over R0t1 will be zero. If the optimal qt is a boundary solution, an increase in R0t1 will relax the budget constraint resulting in a positive partial derivative. Proof of P2. The proof is similar to the proof of P1 and is omitted. The last induction step in the RF case considers all 2n+2 possible cases for the elements of zt. In each case, we have shown that the optimal replenishment decision in Lemma 3, ynt , for (xt, zt)∈Bt, is always a function of zt; and is, thus, achievable. About the authors Spyridon Damianos Lekkakos is a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the Zaragoza Logistics Center. His research interests lie in the intersection of supply chain management and finance. Spyridon Damianos Lekkakkos is the corresponding author and can be contacted at: [email protected] Alejandro Serrano is a Professor of Supply Chain Management at the MIT-Zaragoza International Logistics Program, and a Research Associate at the MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics. He teaches regularly at other masters and executive programs both in Europe and Latin America. For instructions on how to order reprints of this article, please visit our website: www.emeraldgrouppublishing.com/licensing/reprints.htm Or contact us for further details: [email protected] Downloaded by ISTANBUL KULTUR UNIVERSITY At 02:16 10 January 2019 (PT) This article has been cited by: 1. Zericho Marak, Deepa Pillai. 2019. Factors, Outcome, and the Solutions of Supply Chain Finance: Review and the Future Directions. Journal of Risk and Financial Management 12:1, 3. [Crossref] 2. Mengyue Wang, Hongxuan Huang. 2018. The design of a flexible capital-constrained global supply chain by integrating operational and financial strategies. Omega . [Crossref] 3. YousefiSara, Sara Yousefi, Farzipoor SaenReza, Reza Farzipoor Saen, Seyedi HosseininiaSeyed Shahrooz, Seyed Shahrooz Seyedi Hosseininia. Developing an inverse range directional measure model to deal with positive and negative values. 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